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Arizona housing market: home prices by city and forecast

Arizona home prices: the Zillow Home Value Index put a typical home in Arizona at $416,733 in September 2026. That was −1.0% lower than a year earlier.

Typical value of a home
$416,733
September 2026, Zillow ZHVI
Change over 12 months
−1.0%
US +1.2%
Change over 10 years
+87.3%
US +77.4%
Multiple measured from 2000
×3.06
US ×2.99
Home price to income
5.1, with median income $81,486.

Out of the 50 states and DC, Arizona places 18th by typical home value and 48th by the 12-month change. Growth since 2000 ranks it 17th of 47, and price to income 16th, with the highest ranks first.

Arizona home prices since 2000

Back in January 2000 a typical Arizona home cost $136,021; today it is $416,733. The high point came in July 2022 at $461,573, so the current number is −9.7% under that.

$100k$200k$300k$400k$500k200020052010201520202025Jan 2000 · $136,021$366,157$416,733Sep 2026ArizonaUnited States$100k$200k$300k$400k$500k200020102020Jan 2000 · $136k$366k$417kSep 2026
Zillow Home Value Index. Zillow Research data
Averages per year, 2000 to 2025.
Decade0123456789
2000s$139,045$146,748$154,259$163,121$229,127$282,145$271,442$227,124$175,664
2010s$158,236$140,222$147,811$175,344$192,837$203,155$220,102$235,094$253,051$270,294
2020s$296,635$366,847$443,047$424,598$434,639$425,130

Arizona home prices since 1975: the FHFA index

Arizona's 2025 reading on FHFA's repeat-sales index was 1236 (1975 = 100). By Q2 2026 the index had risen +0.9% over a year.

0200400600800100012001400198019902000201020201975 · 10012362025ArizonaUnited States02004006008001000120014001980200020201975 · 10012362025
FHFA House Price Index based on all transactions and yearly averages, with 1975 = 100. FHFA HPI datasets

Owner reports in the Census of Housing put Arizona at $1,400 in 1940. The figure for 2000 was $121,300.

Census yearArizona median valueUS median value
1940$1,400$2,938
1950$5,935$7,354
1960$11,100$11,900
1970$16,300$17,000
1980$54,800$47,200
1990$80,100$79,100
2000$121,300$119,600

No inflation adjustment is applied to this data. Census of Housing tables

Home prices in Arizona by city

Pages are available for 9 cities, listed from largest to smallest:

CityTypical value of a homeChange over 12 monthsMultiple measured from 2000
Phoenix$404,067−1.2%×3.45
Tucson$318,760−1.9%×2.83
Mesa$428,871−0.7%×3.17
Scottsdale$851,746+3.4%×3.48
Yuma$293,382+0.1%
Flagstaff$650,175+0.2%×4.20
Lake Havasu City$459,245+0.8%×4.07
Prescott$592,855−0.3%×3.50
Sedona$891,380+0.7%×3.86
Chandler$512,981−1.2%
Gilbert$565,459−0.2%
Glendale$399,844−1.2%
Peoria$480,440−0.7%
Tempe$458,515−0.5%
Surprise$416,014−1.7%
Goodyear$463,514−0.9%
San Tan Valley$392,549−2.4%
Buckeye$391,189−1.9%

Source: Zillow Home Value Index, September 2026.

Arizona metro forecasts for home prices

In September 2026 for 5 Arizona metros, Zillow's forecasts for the next 12 months run from −1.8% to +1.0%:

MetroNext 3 monthsNext 12 months
Phoenix, AZ0%−1.8%
Tucson, AZ−0.2%−1.1%
Yuma, AZ+0.9%+0.9%
Flagstaff, AZ+0.9%+1.0%
Lake Havasu City, AZ+0.1%−1.2%

This is Zillow's estimate and not investment advice.

Arizona cost of living

The price level in Arizona is 100.7 (US 100). Housing sits at 106.8, goods at 95.4, utilities at 92.3, and other services at 102.8 (BEA). Median household income is $81,486, and median gross rent is $1,672 a month (Census ACS 2024). Of all homes, 68% are owner-occupied, and the median year built is 1994.

Every state: cost of living by state; for cities, Phoenix, Tucson, Mesa, Flagstaff, Sedona.

How to read the chart

The first chart uses dollars and reached its peak of $461,573 in July 2022. Chart two works as an index: Arizona's line finishes at 1236, which means prices there run 12.4 times their 1975 level. Inflation adjustment applies to neither.