Housing market forecast: city table and outlook
Pick a city, and one line shows Zillow's 12-month forecast for the metro plus the city's crash-risk score.
Housing market predictions for the next 12 months
Zillow's forecast puts the typical US home value up +1.1% across 12 months beginning September 2026, reaching about $370,200 from $366,157. Our cities fall within 213 forecasted metro areas, where 167 are expected to rise, 43 to fall, and three to hold steady.
- The coming month
- +0.1%Zillow forecast, US.
- The next 3 months
- +0.3%Zillow forecast, US.
- The next 12 months
- +1.1%. Measured from September 2026.
These numbers are Zillow's, restated here; the site does not publish any forecast of its own. For each metro area, the forecast uses the Zillow Home Value Index, also called ZHVI. It tracks a typical home's value in the middle of the market rather than the value of one house. The US index moved +1.2% over the past 12 months, so the forecast points to a slower pace for the year ahead.
Home value forecast by city from Zillow
Each metro area gets one row that lists our cities inside it; there are 288 city pages in all. You can sort any column, or type in a city to find its metro. For the middle metro, the forecast is +1.6% over 12 months.
| Metro and cities | The coming month | The next 3 months | The next 12 months | For sale vs 2019 | Price to income | Crash-risk score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abilene, TXAbilene | +1.0% | +2.4% | +5.9% | −18.7% | 3.7 | 10 |
| Syracuse, NYSyracuse | +0.5% | +2.1% | +5.2% | −39.4% | 4.3 | 15 |
| Green Bay, WIGreen Bay | +0.4% | +1.8% | +5.2% | +10.7% | 4.3 | 35 |
| Rockford, ILRockford | +0.6% | +1.6% | +5.1% | −58.8% | 3.5 | 6 |
| Cedar Rapids, IACedar Rapids | +0.6% | +2.1% | +4.8% | −42.9% | 3.1 | 14 |
| Peoria, ILPeoria | +0.6% | +1.5% | +4.7% | −69.8% | 2.1 | 2 |
| Coeur d'Alene, IDCoeur d'Alene | +0.7% | +2.1% | +4.4% | +7.7% | 48 | |
| Rochester, NYRochester, New York | +0.5% | +1.9% | +4.2% | −45.0% | 5.1 | 22 |
| Erie, PAErie | +0.2% | +1.2% | +4.1% | −64.2% | 4.3 | 16 |
| Duluth, MNDuluth | +0.2% | +1.1% | +4.1% | −37.5% | 4.3 | 22 |
| Bismarck, NDBismarck | +0.3% | +1.3% | +4.0% | −50.8% | 5.1 | 31 |
| Wichita, KSWichita | +0.3% | +1.7% | +3.9% | +4.5% | 3.1 | 27 |
| Casper, WYCasper | +0.3% | +0.7% | +3.9% | −26.4% | 32 | |
| Fort Wayne, INFort Wayne | +0.5% | +1.3% | +3.8% | +8.6% | 4.0 | 39 |
| Cleveland, OHCleveland, Ohio | +0.5% | +1.2% | +3.7% | −35.2% | 2.7 | 19 |
| Albany, NYAlbany | +0.4% | +1.4% | +3.7% | −56.3% | 5.1 | 24 |
| Rapid City, SDRapid City | +0.4% | +1.3% | +3.7% | −10.7% | 4.8 | 52 |
| Anchorage, AKAnchorage | +0.5% | +1.6% | +3.6% | −41.9% | 4.0 | 20 |
| Madison, WIMadison | +0.5% | +1.5% | +3.6% | −16.3% | 5.4 | 42 |
| Akron, OHAkron | +0.4% | +1.2% | +3.6% | −33.6% | 2.9 | 12 |
| Traverse City, MITraverse City | +0.4% | +1.2% | +3.6% | −43.6% | 30 | |
| Jackson, WYJackson, Wyoming | +0.6% | +1.0% | +3.6% | −4.1% | 60 | |
| Milwaukee, WIMilwaukee | +0.5% | +1.5% | +3.5% | −31.0% | 3.9 | 17 |
| Topeka, KSTopeka | +0.4% | +1.5% | +3.5% | −12.4% | 3.2 | 30 |
| Boise City, IDBoise, Meridian, Nampa | +0.6% | +2.0% | +3.3% | −2.0% | 6.2 | 60 |
| Grand Rapids, MIGrand Rapids | +0.5% | +1.4% | +3.3% | −27.7% | 4.3 | 30 |
| Hartford, CTHartford | +0.5% | +1.3% | +3.3% | −70.0% | 4.0 | 16 |
| Iowa City, IAIowa City | +0.2% | +0.8% | +3.3% | −40.4% | 5.0 | 28 |
| Toledo, OHToledo | +0.3% | +1.1% | +3.2% | −22.6% | 2.6 | 6 |
| Davenport, IADavenport | +0.3% | +0.9% | +3.2% | −35.6% | 3.0 | 15 |
| Fargo, NDFargo | +0.4% | +1.2% | +3.1% | −26.7% | 4.9 | 37 |
| Lansing, MILansing | +0.3% | +1.1% | +3.1% | −27.9% | 3.0 | 19 |
| Lawrence, KSLawrence | +0.3% | +1.0% | +3.1% | −21.6% | 5.0 | 29 |
| Cincinnati, OHCincinnati | +0.3% | +1.1% | +3.0% | −10.9% | 4.3 | 33 |
| Sioux Falls, SDSioux Falls | +0.3% | +1.1% | +3.0% | +3.2% | 4.3 | 54 |
| Kansas City, MOKansas City, Independence | +0.4% | +1.0% | +2.9% | −3.4% | 3.6 | 30 |
| Lexington, KYLexington | +0.4% | +1.3% | +2.9% | −27.0% | 4.7 | 27 |
| Columbus, GAColumbus, Georgia | +0.3% | +0.7% | +2.9% | −7.3% | 3.1 | 17 |
| Evansville, INEvansville | +0.3% | +1.0% | +2.9% | −1.3% | 3.9 | 32 |
| Sioux City, IASioux City | +0.2% | +1.2% | +2.9% | +5.7% | 2.7 | 28 |
| Carson City, NVCarson City | +0.6% | +1.8% | +2.9% | −19.6% | 46 | |
| New York, NY. Cities included: New York City, Jersey City, Yonkers, Hoboken. | +0.3% | +0.7% | +2.8% | −42.3% | 10.2 | 33 |
| Omaha, NEOmaha | +0.5% | +1.1% | +2.8% | +2.7% | 4.1 | 44 |
| New Haven, CTNew Haven | +0.4% | +0.8% | +2.8% | −55.8% | 5.7 | 20 |
| Rochester, MNRochester, Minnesota | +0.3% | +1.2% | +2.8% | +15.3% | 3.8 | 40 |
| Roanoke, VARoanoke | +0.3% | +1.1% | +2.8% | −2.0% | 4.6 | 36 |
| Heber, UTPark City | +0.6% | +1.7% | +2.8% | +12.2% | 48 | |
| Chicago, ILChicago, Naperville | +0.5% | +1.1% | +2.7% | −60.2% | 4.1 | 9 |
| Lincoln, NELincoln | +0.4% | +1.1% | +2.7% | +25.3% | 4.0 | 46 |
| Harrisburg, PAHarrisburg | +0.2% | +0.8% | +2.7% | −29.0% | 19 | |
| St. Louis, MOSt. Louis | +0.3% | +0.8% | +2.6% | −21.7% | 3.4 | 25 |
| Buffalo, NYBuffalo | +0.4% | +1.5% | +2.6% | −10.7% | 4.7 | 33 |
| Amarillo, TXAmarillo | +0.4% | +0.9% | +2.6% | −25.3% | 3.1 | 11 |
| Providence, RIProvidence | +0.3% | +0.9% | +2.6% | −40.8% | 7.0 | 33 |
| Midland, TXMidland | 0% | +0.1% | +2.6% | +13.3% | 4.0 | 53 |
| Allentown, PAAllentown | +0.3% | +0.8% | +2.6% | −55.8% | 6.7 | 26 |
| Billings, MTBillings | +0.2% | +0.9% | +2.6% | +8.7% | 5.8 | 54 |
| Missoula, MTMissoula | +0.3% | +1.0% | +2.6% | +1.2% | 8.1 | 69 |
| Scranton, PAScranton | +0.4% | +1.1% | +2.6% | −43.5% | 4.1 | 28 |
| Cheyenne, WYCheyenne | +0.2% | +0.7% | +2.6% | +26.5% | 4.9 | 52 |
| Shreveport, LAShreveport | +0.3% | +0.7% | +2.5% | −32.0% | 2.9 | 14 |
| Columbia, MOColumbia, Missouri | +0.2% | +0.7% | +2.5% | −11.5% | 4.0 | 29 |
| Portland, MEPortland, Maine | +0.3% | +1.3% | +2.5% | −20.5% | 6.8 | 45 |
| Bozeman, MTBozeman | +0.4% | +1.2% | +2.5% | +8.8% | 68 | |
| Albuquerque, NMAlbuquerque | +0.2% | +0.8% | +2.4% | −11.7% | 4.8 | 53 |
| Reno, NVReno | +0.5% | +1.3% | +2.4% | −25.3% | 6.7 | 47 |
| Winston, NCWinston-Salem | +0.2% | +0.9% | +2.4% | +17.3% | 4.5 | 46 |
| Richmond, VARichmond | +0.3% | +0.7% | +2.4% | −15.7% | 5.7 | 37 |
| Springfield, MOSpringfield, Missouri | +0.3% | +0.7% | +2.4% | +2.9% | 4.5 | 40 |
| Springfield, MASpringfield, Massachusetts | +0.3% | +0.9% | +2.4% | −35.9% | 5.3 | 21 |
| Ann Arbor, MIAnn Arbor | +0.2% | +0.6% | +2.4% | −22.5% | 6.4 | 38 |
| El Paso, TXEl Paso | +0.4% | +1.0% | +2.3% | −3.5% | 4.0 | 29 |
| Virginia Beach, VAVirginia Beach, Norfolk | +0.2% | +0.5% | +2.3% | −36.3% | 4.5 | 24 |
| Kalamazoo, MIKalamazoo | +0.2% | +0.8% | +2.3% | −18.4% | 4.0 | 29 |
| Bridgeport, CTStamford | +0.4% | +0.5% | +2.2% | −69.8% | 6.1 | 28 |
| Fort Smith, ARFort Smith | +0.1% | +0.5% | +2.2% | −8.2% | 3.2 | 23 |
| Ogden, UTOgden | +0.2% | +0.7% | +2.2% | +37.7% | 5.2 | 80 |
| Bloomington, INBloomington | +0.1% | +0.7% | +2.2% | +28.4% | 6.2 | 62 |
| Columbus, OHColumbus, Ohio | +0.3% | +1.0% | +2.1% | +12.1% | 3.6 | 50 |
| Tulsa, OKTulsa, Broken Arrow | +0.1% | −0.1% | +2.1% | +5.3% | 3.6 | 31 |
| Huntsville, ALHuntsville | +0.3% | +0.9% | +2.1% | +115.5% | 3.4 | 60 |
| Knoxville, TNKnoxville | +0.2% | +0.7% | +2.1% | +20.7% | 6.4 | 57 |
| Philadelphia, PAPhiladelphia, Wilmington, Delaware | +0.2% | +0.5% | +2.0% | −28.3% | 3.8 | 24 |
| Montgomery, ALMontgomery | +0.1% | +0.3% | +2.0% | −11.6% | 2.5 | 17 |
| Kalispell, MTKalispell | +0.3% | +0.7% | +2.0% | −12.8% | 47 | |
| Los Angeles, CA. Anaheim, Santa Ana, Long Beach, Santa Clarita, Irvine, Huntington Beach, Lancaster, Palmdale, Torrance, Pasadena, Los Angeles. | −0.1% | −1.0% | +1.9% | −2.1% | 11.3 | 73 |
| San Jose, CASan Jose, Sunnyvale, Santa Clara | −0.2% | −1.0% | +1.9% | +0.3% | 9.1 | 64 |
| Indianapolis, INIndianapolis | +0.2% | +0.8% | +1.9% | +11.8% | 3.4 | 43 |
| San Francisco, CA. Cities included: San Francisco, Oakland, Fremont, Concord, Berkeley. | +0.4% | +0.5% | +1.9% | −2.8% | 10.3 | 55 |
| Greensboro, NCGreensboro | +0.1% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +15.1% | 4.1 | 48 |
| Provo, UTProvo | +0.2% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +28.5% | 8.0 | 76 |
| Santa Maria, CASanta Barbara | +0.3% | +0.4% | +1.9% | −27.8% | 16.9 | 47 |
| Twin Falls, IDTwin Falls | +0.2% | +0.5% | +1.9% | +23.6% | 63 | |
| Charlottesville, VACharlottesville | +0.1% | +0.7% | +1.9% | −29.0% | 32 | |
| Burlington, VTBurlington | +0.2% | +0.8% | +1.9% | −17.2% | 42 | |
| Detroit, MIDetroit | +0.2% | +0.9% | +1.8% | −23.9% | 1.9 | 32 |
| Little Rock, ARLittle Rock | +0.2% | +0.4% | +1.8% | +8.4% | 3.3 | 26 |
| Wilmington, NCWilmington, North Carolina | +0.2% | +0.6% | +1.8% | +9.5% | 6.6 | 56 |
| Worcester, MAWorcester | +0.3% | +0.7% | +1.7% | −23.7% | 6.1 | 38 |
| Jackson, MSJackson, Mississippi | +0.1% | +0.3% | +1.7% | −8.4% | 1.9 | 22 |
| Fayetteville, ARFayetteville, Arkansas, Bentonville | +0.1% | +0.4% | +1.7% | +53.5% | 5.7 | 57 |
| Yakima, WAYakima | +0.1% | +0.7% | +1.7% | +81.9% | 5.6 | 75 |
| Grand Junction, COGrand Junction | +0.1% | +0.8% | +1.7% | +21.4% | 5.3 | 58 |
| Minneapolis, MNMinneapolis, St. Paul | +0.3% | +0.8% | +1.6% | −6.7% | 4.2 | 37 |
| Bakersfield, CABakersfield | 0% | 0% | +1.6% | +8.7% | 4.7 | 58 |
| Salt Lake City, UTSalt Lake City | +0.2% | +0.6% | +1.6% | +37.0% | 7.4 | 77 |
| Des Moines, IADes Moines | +0.2% | +0.5% | +1.6% | +5.0% | 3.1 | 41 |
| Macon, GAMacon | +0.1% | +0.6% | +1.6% | +10.8% | 3.6 | 26 |
| Oklahoma City, OKOklahoma City, Norman | +0.1% | −0.1% | +1.5% | +33.9% | 2.9 | 45 |
| Augusta, GAAugusta | +0.1% | +0.2% | +1.5% | +32.9% | 3.2 | 36 |
| Salinas, CASalinas | +0.1% | +0.1% | +1.5% | −31.4% | 8.5 | 48 |
| Santa Fe, NMSanta Fe | −0.1% | +0.2% | +1.5% | +4.0% | 7.0 | 66 |
| San Luis Obispo, CASan Luis Obispo | +0.1% | −0.4% | +1.5% | −29.8% | 43 | |
| Boston, MABoston | +0.2% | +0.5% | +1.4% | −17.1% | 7.8 | 56 |
| Athens, GAAthens | 0% | +0.2% | +1.4% | +64.3% | 6.5 | 54 |
| Laredo, TXLaredo | +0.2% | +0.7% | +1.3% | +10.7% | 3.6 | 43 |
| Birmingham, ALBirmingham | +0.2% | +0.4% | +1.3% | +11.9% | 2.6 | 38 |
| Pittsburgh, PAPittsburgh | +0.3% | +1.0% | +1.2% | −16.1% | 3.5 | 27 |
| Baton Rouge, LABaton Rouge | +0.1% | +0.1% | +1.2% | −22.1% | 4.5 | 29 |
| Chattanooga, TNChattanooga | +0.1% | +0.5% | +1.2% | +42.0% | 4.8 | 66 |
| Tuscaloosa, ALTuscaloosa | +0.2% | +0.7% | +1.2% | +2.9% | 4.5 | 37 |
| Myrtle Beach, SCMyrtle Beach | 0% | +0.1% | +1.2% | +17.2% | 50 | |
| Durango, CODurango | 0% | 0% | +1.2% | −23.4% | 44 | |
| Visalia, CAVisalia | 0% | −0.1% | +1.1% | +1.8% | 4.7 | 51 |
| Las Cruces, NMLas Cruces | +0.1% | +0.2% | +1.1% | +49.8% | 4.9 | 70 |
| Greenville, SCGreenville | 0% | +0.1% | +1.1% | +24.8% | 4.0 | 47 |
| Hot Springs, ARHot Springs | +0.1% | +0.4% | +1.1% | +13.5% | 52 | |
| Mobile, ALMobile | 0% | +0.2% | +1.0% | −9.9% | 3.6 | 33 |
| Charleston, SCCharleston, SC, North Charleston | +0.1% | +0.5% | +1.0% | −17.0% | 6.0 | 44 |
| Flagstaff, AZFlagstaff | +0.3% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +7.7% | 8.7 | 73 |
| San Diego, CA. Cities included: San Diego, Chula Vista, Oceanside, Escondido. | +0.1% | −0.4% | +0.9% | −12.7% | 8.8 | 65 |
| Fresno, CAFresno | −0.1% | −0.3% | +0.9% | −6.3% | 5.2 | 51 |
| Fayetteville, NCFayetteville, North Carolina | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.9% | +10.0% | 4.1 | 41 |
| Brownsville, TXBrownsville, South Padre Island | 0% | +0.1% | +0.9% | +12.4% | 3.3 | 27 |
| McAllen, TXMcAllen | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.9% | +69.1% | 3.7 | 43 |
| Lafayette, LALafayette | 0% | 0% | +0.9% | −19.9% | 3.8 | 24 |
| Yuma, AZYuma | +0.2% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +27.7% | 4.1 | 57 |
| Bellingham, WABellingham | +0.1% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +19.5% | 8.9 | 76 |
| Hilton Head Island, SCHilton Head Island | 0% | +0.1% | +0.9% | −8.7% | 35 | |
| Columbia, SCColumbia, South Carolina | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.8% | +3.4% | 4.1 | 35 |
| College Station, TXCollege Station | 0% | +0.1% | +0.8% | +17.8% | 6.8 | 66 |
| Boulder, COBoulder | +0.2% | 0% | +0.8% | +24.7% | 10.9 | 78 |
| Pensacola, FLPensacola | +0.2% | +0.5% | +0.8% | +28.6% | 53 | |
| Miami, FL. Hollywood, Miami, West Palm Beach, Fort Lauderdale, Boca Raton. | +0.2% | −0.1% | +0.7% | −8.4% | 8.8 | 48 |
| Washington, DCWashington, DC, Arlington, Virginia, Alexandria, Frederick | 0% | −0.3% | +0.6% | +11.7% | 5.2 | 61 |
| Baltimore, MDBaltimore, Annapolis | −0.1% | −0.2% | +0.6% | −24.7% | 2.9 | 28 |
| Fort Collins, COFort Collins | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +31.2% | 6.8 | 77 |
| Lubbock, TXLubbock | +0.4% | +1.3% | +0.5% | +68.3% | 3.4 | 39 |
| Tyler, TXTyler | +0.1% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +87.9% | 3.6 | 60 |
| Idaho Falls, IDIdaho Falls | +0.4% | +0.8% | +0.4% | +99.4% | 5.0 | 73 |
| Cleveland, TNCleveland, Tennessee | −0.2% | −0.4% | +0.4% | +49.6% | 66 | |
| Houston, TXHouston, Sugar Land, Galveston, Katy | 0% | 0% | +0.3% | +19.9% | 4.0 | 47 |
| Riverside, CA. Cities included: Riverside, San Bernardino, Ontario, Corona, Palm Springs. | −0.1% | −0.8% | +0.3% | −8.8% | 7.1 | 63 |
| Eugene, OREugene | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +29.2% | 6.7 | 74 |
| St. George, UTSt. George | +0.2% | +0.5% | +0.3% | +56.4% | 6.1 | 81 |
| Santa Cruz, CASanta Cruz | +0.1% | −0.3% | +0.3% | −9.7% | 38 | |
| Olympia, WAOlympia | +0.1% | 0% | +0.3% | +75.5% | 83 | |
| Nashville, TNNashville, Murfreesboro, Franklin | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +55.0% | 5.3 | 81 |
| Spokane, WASpokane | +0.3% | +0.5% | +0.2% | +67.5% | 5.0 | 76 |
| Tallahassee, FLTallahassee | 0% | 0% | +0.2% | −22.6% | 5.2 | 41 |
| Waco, TXWaco | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +96.2% | 3.4 | 57 |
| Crestview, FLDestin | +0.2% | +0.5% | +0.2% | +31.8% | 70 | |
| Hilo, HIHilo | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.2% | −5.1% | 34 | |
| Urban Honolulu, HIHonolulu | +0.2% | 0% | +0.1% | +11.8% | 9.0 | 69 |
| Clarksville, TNClarksville | 0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +70.3% | 4.3 | 68 |
| Salem, ORSalem | 0% | 0% | +0.1% | +19.0% | 5.4 | 71 |
| Napa, CANapa | +0.1% | −0.4% | +0.1% | +19.7% | 7.3 | 80 |
| Seattle, WASeattle, Tacoma, Bellevue | −0.1% | −0.6% | 0% | +57.4% | 6.9 | 88 |
| Oxnard, CAOxnard, Simi Valley, Thousand Oaks | −0.1% | −0.5% | 0% | −3.4% | 7.5 | 61 |
| Santa Rosa, CASanta Rosa | +0.2% | +0.2% | 0% | −3.1% | 7.1 | 55 |
| Portland, ORPortland, Oregon, Vancouver | 0% | −0.3% | −0.1% | +8.8% | 5.7 | 72 |
| Memphis, TNMemphis | −0.1% | −0.2% | −0.1% | +68.3% | 2.9 | 57 |
| Corpus Christi, TXCorpus Christi | 0% | +0.2% | −0.1% | +54.3% | 3.3 | 50 |
| Fredericksburg, TXFredericksburg | +0.3% | +0.4% | −0.1% | +75.2% | 87 | |
| Denver, CODenver, Aurora | 0% | −0.2% | −0.2% | +55.1% | 5.6 | 84 |
| Bend, ORBend | +0.1% | +0.1% | −0.2% | +36.3% | 6.9 | 79 |
| Charlotte, NCCharlotte | −0.1% | −0.5% | −0.3% | +33.1% | 4.5 | 68 |
| Modesto, CAModesto | 0% | −0.1% | −0.3% | −2.6% | 5.6 | 54 |
| Panama City, FLPanama City | −0.1% | −0.2% | −0.3% | +59.5% | 64 | |
| Durham, NCDurham, Chapel Hill | −0.2% | −0.3% | −0.4% | +25.5% | 4.6 | 62 |
| Vallejo, CAVallejo | +0.1% | −0.1% | −0.4% | +17.0% | 6.5 | 74 |
| Odessa, TXOdessa | −0.3% | −0.7% | −0.4% | +57.0% | 3.1 | 43 |
| Jacksonville, FLJacksonville, St. Augustine | 0% | −0.2% | −0.5% | +0.3% | 3.9 | 41 |
| Raleigh, NCRaleigh | −0.1% | −0.2% | −0.5% | +18.1% | 5.0 | 65 |
| Colorado Springs, COColorado Springs | 0% | −0.4% | −0.5% | +107.0% | 5.3 | 82 |
| Medford, ORMedford | −0.1% | −0.6% | −0.5% | +6.1% | 5.6 | 54 |
| Killeen, TXKilleen | 0% | −0.1% | −0.6% | +83.2% | 3.6 | 62 |
| Savannah, GASavannah | −0.2% | −0.2% | −0.6% | +0.3% | 5.7 | 58 |
| Branson, MOBranson | −0.1% | −0.5% | −0.6% | +30.9% | 60 | |
| Stockton, CAStockton | 0% | −0.3% | −0.7% | −3.5% | 5.4 | 61 |
| Palm Bay, FLPalm Bay | +0.1% | −0.1% | −0.7% | +19.6% | 3.9 | 49 |
| Deltona, FLDaytona Beach | +0.1% | −0.1% | −0.7% | +10.8% | 4.4 | 52 |
| Sacramento, CASacramento, Elk Grove, Roseville | +0.1% | −0.4% | −0.8% | −7.1% | 5.1 | 51 |
| Orlando, FLOrlando | 0% | −0.2% | −0.8% | +42.3% | 4.8 | 68 |
| Asheville, NCAsheville | −0.3% | −0.6% | −0.8% | +21.6% | 5.6 | 75 |
| Dallas, TX. Arlington, Texas, Dallas, Plano, Fort Worth, McKinney, Frisco, Denton. | 0% | −0.3% | −0.9% | +20.8% | 4.1 | 59 |
| Pueblo, COPueblo | 0% | +0.3% | −0.9% | +183.2% | 5.1 | 80 |
| Atlanta, GAAtlanta | −0.1% | −0.7% | −1.0% | −2.5% | 4.3 | 50 |
| New Orleans, LANew Orleans | −0.2% | −0.6% | −1.0% | +27.9% | 4.1 | 54 |
| Tucson, AZTucson | −0.1% | −0.2% | −1.1% | +40.6% | 5.3 | 73 |
| Gainesville, FLGainesville | −0.2% | −0.5% | −1.2% | +21.7% | 6.3 | 65 |
| Lakeland, FLLakeland | −0.1% | −0.4% | −1.2% | +59.1% | 4.8 | 68 |
| Lake Havasu City, AZLake Havasu City | 0% | +0.1% | −1.2% | +33.1% | 66 | |
| San Antonio, TXSan Antonio, New Braunfels | −0.1% | −0.3% | −1.3% | +49.3% | 3.7 | 61 |
| Las Vegas, NVLas Vegas, Henderson | −0.1% | −0.2% | −1.5% | +16.4% | 5.3 | 73 |
| Port St. Lucie, FLPort St. Lucie | +0.1% | −0.2% | −1.6% | +15.7% | 4.5 | 50 |
| Naples, FLNaples | 0% | −0.7% | −1.6% | −23.1% | 44 | |
| Tampa, FLTampa, St. Petersburg | 0% | −0.6% | −1.7% | +30.6% | 4.5 | 61 |
| Phoenix, AZPhoenix, Mesa, Scottsdale | −0.1% | 0% | −1.8% | +43.7% | 4.7 | 75 |
| North Port, FLSarasota | +0.1% | −0.1% | −1.9% | +4.4% | 56 | |
| Ocala, FLOcala | −0.1% | −0.4% | −2.3% | +65.3% | 4.3 | 64 |
| Austin, TXAustin, Round Rock, Georgetown | +0.1% | +0.1% | −2.4% | +58.2% | 5.4 | 87 |
| Cape Coral, FLCape Coral, Fort Myers | −0.1% | −0.6% | −3.6% | +17.3% | 3.9 | 53 |
Forecast: Zillow Home Value Forecast (ZHVF). Scope: metro areas. Period: from September 2026. Zillow Research data. Compared with the same month in 2019, homes for sale: Realtor.com®, September 2026. Crash-risk score and price to income both cover the first city named. Price to income means typical home value divided by median household income (Census ACS 2024). Scored out of 100: city crash risk.
Fannie Mae housing forecast and other outlooks
Each outlook follows a different index, so its numbers do not measure the same thing. Whole-calendar-year national house price indexes are forecast by Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association. The median price of homes sold is forecast by the National Association of Realtors. Only Zillow's here includes a figure for each metro.
| Forecaster | What it forecasts | Change | Published |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zillow | Zillow Home Value Index, US, 12 months | +1.1%. Measured from September 2026. | |
| Fannie Mae ESR Group | Fannie Mae house price index, Q4 2026 compared with Q4 2025 | +2.7% | Housing Forecast, October 12, 2026 |
| Fannie Mae ESR Group | Fannie Mae house price index for Q4 2027 compared with Q4 2026 | +0.6% | Housing Forecast, October 12, 2026 |
| Mortgage Bankers Association | FHFA purchase-only house price index for Q4 2026 versus a year earlier | +0.8% | Mortgage Finance Forecast, September 16, 2026 |
| Mortgage Bankers Association | FHFA purchase-only house price index for Q4 2027 versus a year earlier | +0.5% | Mortgage Finance Forecast, September 16, 2026 |
| National Association of Realtors | Median home price, its April 2026 forecast | +4% | Residential forecast, April 9, 2026 |
Read each of these on a separate page: Zillow Research; MBA Mortgage Finance Forecast; Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research forecast; NAR research and statistics. Fannie Mae revises its house price forecast during January, April, July and October.
Five-year real estate forecast: what the data can tell us
None of these sources forecasts five years ahead for cities, and Zillow's forecast ends at 12 months. The data can show how much prices moved during past five-year periods. Typical US home values rose +19.7% across the five years to September 2026. The four preceding five-year periods ran from −23.2% to +52.7%.
| Five years | US typical value, change | A year, compounded |
|---|---|---|
| September 2021 to September 2026 | +19.7% | +3.7% |
| September 2016 to September 2021 | +48.3% | +8.2% |
| September 2011 to September 2016 | +28.5% | +5.1% |
| September 2006 to September 2011 | −23.2% | −5.1% |
| September 2001 to September 2006 | +52.7% | +8.8% |
Our 291 cities show five-year changes between −20.9% in Jackson, Mississippi and +59.8% in Rockford. The middle city climbed +18.2%, while 16 cities sit lower than they did five years ago. Long-run rate for each city: average home appreciation per year.
Cities with the fastest forecast growth
Listed are the 15 metro areas with the top Zillow forecast, covering the 12 months from September 2026, beside each first city's past-year change.
| Metro and cities | Forecast, next 12 months | First city, past 12 months |
|---|---|---|
| Abilene, TXAbilene | +5.9% | +10.0% |
| Syracuse, NYSyracuse | +5.2% | +5.5% |
| Green Bay, WIGreen Bay | +5.2% | +5.1% |
| Rockford, ILRockford | +5.1% | +9.5% |
| Cedar Rapids, IACedar Rapids | +4.8% | +2.2% |
| Peoria, ILPeoria | +4.7% | +5.2% |
| Coeur d'Alene, IDCoeur d'Alene | +4.4% | +3.3% |
| Rochester, NYRochester, New York | +4.2% | +4.7% |
| Erie, PAErie | +4.1% | +4.5% |
| Duluth, MNDuluth | +4.1% | +4.6% |
| Bismarck, NDBismarck | +4.0% | +5.3% |
| Wichita, KSWichita | +3.9% | +2.3% |
| Casper, WYCasper | +3.9% | +2.1% |
| Fort Wayne, INFort Wayne | +3.8% | +3.3% |
| Cleveland, OHCleveland, Ohio | +3.7% | −0.8% |
The lowest forecasts sit at the other end: Cape Coral, FL (−3.6%), Austin, TX (−2.4%), Ocala, FL (−2.3%), North Port, FL (−1.9%) and Phoenix, AZ (−1.8%).
How well 12-month forecasts have done
A forecast of this kind over 12 months is an estimate: Zillow's central estimate for each metro. No past forecasts are stored on the site for comparison with actual results, so it claims nothing about how often they were right. Two figures in the data show how broad the range is.
- Top metro forecast
- +5.9%Abilene, TX
- Lowest forecast for a metro
- −3.6%Cape Coral, FL
- Gap between the two
- A gap of 9.5 points across 213 metros.
- Range of US 12-month change
- From −10.0% to +18.4% since 2001, based on Zillow ZHVI.
From 2001 onward, the US 12-month change has ranged between +18.4% in August 2021 and −10.0% in March 2009. A +1.1% forecast sits inside a range that broad; weigh it as one of several estimates. The score on current market conditions: Will housing crash? Five numbers to weigh before you buy: Good time to buy now? Sellers can check the best time to sell.