Tucson housing market: home prices, trends and forecast
Tucson home prices: in September 2026 the Zillow Home Value Index valued a typical home in Tucson, Arizona at $318,760, which is 5.3% under its August 2024 peak of $336,623 and −1.9% on a year earlier.
- Value of the typical home
- $318,760September 2026, Zillow ZHVI
- Change over 12 months
- −1.9%. Measured against September 2025.
Tucson home prices since 2000
Tucson is drawn as the steel line, and the United States as the grey line. The typical Tucson home went from $112,602 in January 2000 to $318,760, ×2.83, compared with ×2.99 for the US over those same months. The high of the boom was $223,381 in August 2006; the low was $125,074 in January 2012, −44.0%.
Tucson median home price by year
Each yearly figure averages the twelve monthly values, and 2026 shows the latest month.
| Year | Tucson | Change on the year | United States |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | $114,517 | $125,745 | |
| 2001 | $120,470 | +5.2% | $134,899 |
| 2002 | $128,327 | +6.5% | $144,276 |
| 2003 | $138,325 | +7.8% | $155,308 |
| 2004 | $151,931 | +9.8% | $169,891 |
| 2005 | $187,896 | +23.7% | $189,732 |
| 2006 | $219,803 | +17.0% | $206,531 |
| 2007 | $217,830 | −0.9% | $208,449 |
| 2008 | $194,606 | −10.7% | $195,574 |
| 2009 | $169,016 | −13.1% | $177,542 |
| 2010 | $153,838 | −9.0% | $171,462 |
| 2011 | $134,738 | −12.4% | $162,508 |
| 2012 | $133,271 | −1.1% | $161,137 |
| 2013 | $149,891 | +12.5% | $171,420 |
| 2014 | $159,600 | +6.5% | $182,996 |
| 2015 | $164,631 | +3.2% | $192,738 |
| 2016 | $172,151 | +4.6% | $204,509 |
| 2017 | $186,052 | +8.1% | $216,767 |
| 2018 | $196,594 | +5.7% | $230,541 |
| 2019 | $211,196 | +7.4% | $242,088 |
| 2020 | $229,248 | +8.5% | $257,151 |
| 2021 | $276,818 | +20.8% | $295,959 |
| 2022 | $324,810 | +17.3% | $340,014 |
| 2023 | $324,852 | 0% | $348,160 |
| 2024 | $334,668 | +3.0% | $359,751 |
| 2025 | $327,692 | −2.1% | $362,959 |
| September 2026 | $318,760 | −1.9% | $366,157 |
What a home bought in Tucson in any year is worth now
This is an index-based estimate of a typical home, not an appraisal.
Each year's figure averages its twelve monthly index values, and the current value is September 2026. Other tools: home appreciation calculator.
Are you thinking of selling? Compare agents in your area through Realtor.com. Links of this kind may pay the site, and a payment like that never changes a number. Advertising disclosure: Disclosure.
Tucson housing market forecast
For the Tucson, AZ metro, Zillow's forecast gives −1.1% over the 12 months starting September 2026, and −0.2% over the coming three months. Applied to Tucson's $318,760 typical value, the forecast would put the figure close to $315,300 a year from now.
The metro forecast shown here is Zillow's central estimate, restated; this site has no forecast of its own. Forecasts like this one, over 12 months, have typically landed several percentage points away from the change that actually happened, in both directions. This is not investment advice.
All metro forecasts in a single table: housing market forecast.
Tucson housing market crash risk score
High, at 73 of 100
Against 292 cities, the score ranks Tucson using five conditions that ran high before earlier price falls. Every input gets a score from 0 to 100 when set against the other cities, and the five scores are averaged with equal weight. It shows conditions as they stand today; it does not predict a crash.
| Input | Value | Sub-score | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active listings vs 2019 | +40.6% | 85 | 20% |
| Days on the market vs 2019 | +18.4% | 77 | 20% |
| Price-to-rent ratio | 18.6 | 54 | 20% |
| Price-to-income ratio | 5.3 | 62 | 20% |
| 12-month price change | −1.9% | 89 | 20% |
None of this is investment advice. How each input earns its score: methodology. Every one of the 292 cities, ranked: city crash risk rankings.
Tucson inventory and days on market
In September 2026 the Tucson, AZ metro listed 3,851 homes for sale, up 2.5% from a year earlier and +40.6% above the same month of 2019. The median sale took 58 days (+18.4% against 2019), and price cuts showed up on 22.2% of listings.
| Tucson, AZ metro, September 2026 | Value | On a year |
|---|---|---|
| Active listings | 3,851 | +2.5% |
| New listings | 1,500 | |
| Median days on market | 58 | −8.7% |
| Median list price | $372,500 | −3.2% |
| Share with a price cut | 22.2% |
Metro inventory data: Realtor.com® Economic Research. Realtor.com data. All metros: days on market, city by city.
What it costs to live in Tucson
The Zillow Observed Rent Index shows Tucson's typical asking rent at $1,428 a month, +1.4% on a year. That monthly rent would take 18.6 years to cover the typical home. Households earn a median of $60,483 (Census ACS 2024), which makes the typical home 5.3 times a year's income. According to BEA, metro prices stand at 96.9 where the US average is 100, and housing costs come to 91.8.
Rent and prices, plus the salary needed to move there: Tucson cost of living.
Other Arizona housing markets
- Phoenix: $404,067.
- Mesa housing market $428,871.
- Scottsdale housing market $851,746.
- Yuma housing market $293,382.
- Flagstaff housing market $650,175.
- Lake Havasu City $459,245
- Prescott housing market $592,855.
- Sedona housing market $891,380.
Statewide view: Arizona housing market.
How to read this chart
Every point shows the Zillow Home Value Index for Tucson, which tracks what a typical home in the market's middle third is worth, smoothed and seasonally adjusted, in dollars for that month. A hollow dot marks the month chosen on the slider, while a terracotta dot marks the latest month. These numbers are not adjusted for inflation, and the index follows the typical home rather than any single house. Work out the value of one home from its own sale price with the home appreciation calculator or the card above it.