Arlington, Virginia housing market: home prices and forecast
Arlington, Virginia home prices: according to the Zillow Home Value Index, a typical home was worth $801,809 in September 2026, +1.3% on a year earlier, the highest month in the record.
- Typical value for a home
- $801,809September 2026, Zillow ZHVI
- Change over 12 months
- A gain of +1.3% compared with September 2025.
Arlington, Virginia home prices since 2000
The steel line shows Arlington, Virginia, and the grey line shows the United States. Between January 2000 and the latest figure, the typical Arlington, Virginia home rose from $203,256 to $801,809, a ×3.94 increase; the US recorded ×2.99 over the same months. The boom high was $539,442 in March 2006. The low was $473,573 in August 2009, −12.2%.
Arlington, Virginia median home price by year
Each year averages its twelve monthly values; for 2026, the latest month is shown.
| Year | Arlington, Virginia | Change on the year | United States |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | $212,775 | $125,745 | |
| 2001 | $247,477 | +16.3% | $134,899 |
| 2002 | $292,824 | +18.3% | $144,276 |
| 2003 | $343,081 | +17.2% | $155,308 |
| 2004 | $402,904 | +17.4% | $169,891 |
| 2005 | $486,784 | +20.8% | $189,732 |
| 2006 | $533,031 | +9.5% | $206,531 |
| 2007 | $516,807 | −3.0% | $208,449 |
| 2008 | $490,466 | −5.1% | $195,574 |
| 2009 | $475,421 | −3.1% | $177,542 |
| 2010 | $484,344 | +1.9% | $171,462 |
| 2011 | $486,285 | +0.4% | $162,508 |
| 2012 | $495,577 | +1.9% | $161,137 |
| 2013 | $529,675 | +6.9% | $171,420 |
| 2014 | $559,186 | +5.6% | $182,996 |
| 2015 | $566,898 | +1.4% | $192,738 |
| 2016 | $577,465 | +1.9% | $204,509 |
| 2017 | $594,627 | +3.0% | $216,767 |
| 2018 | $610,857 | +2.7% | $230,541 |
| 2019 | $648,533 | +6.2% | $242,088 |
| 2020 | $693,516 | +6.9% | $257,151 |
| 2021 | $727,807 | +4.9% | $295,959 |
| 2022 | $750,534 | +3.1% | $340,014 |
| 2023 | $748,102 | −0.3% | $348,160 |
| 2024 | $780,822 | +4.4% | $359,751 |
| 2025 | $797,095 | +2.1% | $362,959 |
| September 2026 | $801,809 | +1.3% | $366,157 |
Current value of a home bought in Arlington, Virginia in any year
An index-based estimate of a typical home, not an appraisal.
Each year's figure averages twelve monthly index values; the current value is September 2026. For more options, see the home appreciation calculator.
Thinking about a sale? Local agents: compare them on Realtor.com. Advertising disclosure: links like this one may pay the site, but the site never changes a number. Disclosure.
Forecast for the Arlington, Virginia housing market
For the Washington, DC metro, Zillow's forecast is +0.6% over the 12 months beginning September 2026, and −0.3% over the three months that come next. Arlington, Virginia's typical value is $801,809, so the forecast would put it around $806,600 a year on.
The estimate shown comes from Zillow's central forecast for the metro, restated here; the site itself offers no forecast. Forecasts like this one over 12 months have typically missed what actually happened by several percentage points, in both directions. This is not investment advice.
One table holds forecasts for every metro: housing market forecast.
Crash risk score for the Arlington, Virginia housing market
High, 64 of 100
The ranking places Arlington, Virginia against 292 cities, using five conditions that ran high before earlier price falls. Every input is scored from 0 to 100 in comparison with the other cities, then the five scores are averaged, each with equal weight. It shows conditions as they are now, and it makes no prediction of a crash.
| Input | Value | Sub-score | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active listings vs 2019 | +11.7% | 61 | 20% |
| Days on the market vs 2019 | +7.5% | 57 | 20% |
| Price-to-rent ratio | 24.9 | 85 | 20% |
| Price-to-income ratio | 6.0 | 72 | 20% |
| 12-month price change | +1.3% | 43 | 20% |
This is not investment advice. How each input is scored: scoring method. Rankings for all 292 cities: crash risk rankings.
Homes for sale and market time in Arlington, Virginia
In September 2026 the Washington, DC metro recorded 16,579 homes for sale, up +16.2% from a year earlier and +11.7% from the same month of 2019. The median listing sold in 43 days (+7.5% against 2019), and a price cut appeared on 20.1% of listings.
| Washington, DC metro, September 2026 | Value | On a year |
|---|---|---|
| Active listings | 16,579 | +16.2% |
| New listings | 7,648 | |
| Median days on market | 43 | +13.3% |
| Median list price | $572,150 | −4.6% |
| Share with a price cut | 20.1% |
Realtor.com® Economic Research, metro inventory figures. Realtor.com source. All metros: days on market by city.
Living costs in Arlington, Virginia
In Arlington, Virginia, the Zillow Observed Rent Index puts the typical asking rent at $2,680 a month, +1.1% on a year. That rent, paid for 24.9 years, equals the price of the typical home. A median household income of $133,582 (Census ACS 2024) means the typical home equals 6.0 times yearly household income. BEA reports metro prices at 108.9 and housing costs at 151.1, while prices across the US average 100.
Find details about rent, prices and the salary required to move there in cost of living in Arlington, Virginia.
Other Virginia housing markets
- Virginia Beach $424,785
- $361,844 in Richmond.
- $310,673 in Norfolk.
- $662,843 in Alexandria.
- $277,549 in Roanoke.
- $511,398 in Charlottesville.
Statewide figures: Virginia housing market.
How to read this chart
Each point gives the Zillow Home Value Index for Arlington, Virginia: a typical home in the market's middle third, smoothed and seasonally adjusted, valued in that month's dollars. The hollow dot identifies the month selected on the slider, while the terracotta dot marks the latest month. No inflation adjustment applies to these figures, and an index tracks the typical home rather than any one house. To find what a single home is worth, take its own sale price, then use the card above it or try the home appreciation calculator.