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Denton housing market: home prices, trends and forecast

Denton home prices: the Zillow Home Value Index valued a typical home in Denton, Texas at $343,177 in September 2026. That is 3.1% lower than the year before and 11.3% under the August 2022 peak of $386,754.

Value of a typical home
$343,177
September 2026, Zillow ZHVI
Change in 12 months
−3.1%
since September 2025
Change in 10 years
+63.5%
since September 2016
Multiple from 2000
×2.6. The base was $129,567.
Time on the market
62
Realtor.com, Dallas, TX metro.

Denton home prices since 2000

Denton is the steel line, and the United States is the grey line. From January 2000 to now, the typical Denton home rose from $129,567 to $343,177, or ×2.65, while the US increased by ×2.99 over those months. The boom's high was $152,172 in January 2008; its low was $140,960 in December 2011, −7.4%.

$100k$150k$200k$250k$300k$350k$400k200020052010201520202025Jan 2000 · $129,567$343,177Sep 2026DentonUnited States$100k$150k$200k$250k$300k$350k$400k200020102020Jan 2000 · $130k$343kSep 2026
Typical home values from the Zillow Home Value Index, smoothed and seasonally adjusted. Zillow Research data
January 2000 · $129,567

Denton median home price by year

Each yearly figure averages twelve monthly values; for 2026, it shows the latest month.

YearDentonChange on the yearUnited States
2000$130,307$125,745
2001$130,603+0.2%$134,899
2002$131,706+0.8%$144,276
2003$135,701+3.0%$155,308
2004$140,220+3.3%$169,891
2005$143,806+2.6%$189,732
2006$146,915+2.2%$206,531
2007$150,365+2.3%$208,449
2008$150,494+0.1%$195,574
2009$147,879−1.7%$177,542
2010$147,194−0.5%$171,462
2011$142,104−3.5%$162,508
2012$145,253+2.2%$161,137
2013$156,851+8.0%$171,420
2014$168,334+7.3%$182,996
2015$183,424+9.0%$192,738
2016$205,638+12.1%$204,509
2017$226,937+10.4%$216,767
2018$243,808+7.4%$230,541
2019$250,864+2.9%$242,088
2020$261,278+4.2%$257,151
2021$304,370+16.5%$295,959
2022$372,364+22.3%$340,014
2023$371,002−0.4%$348,160
2024$369,736−0.3%$359,751
2025$359,720−2.7%$362,959
September 2026$343,177−3.1%$366,157

Current value of Denton homes bought in any year

An index-based estimate for a typical home, rather than an appraisal.

For each year, the figure averages twelve monthly index values; September 2026 provides the current value. Additional tools: home appreciation calculator.

Are you thinking about selling? Compare local agents through Realtor.com. Advertising disclosure: links like this one may pay the site; it never changes a number. Disclosure.

Denton housing market forecast

For the Dallas, TX metro, Zillow's forecast shows −0.9% across the 12 months beginning September 2026 and −0.3% during the next three months. That would put Denton's $343,177 typical value near $340,100 a year on.

This is Zillow's central forecast for the metro, repeated here; the site does not publish its own forecast. Over 12 months, this kind of forecast has typically landed several percentage points away from the realised change, in either direction. This is not investment advice.

Every metro forecast in a single table: housing market forecast.

Denton housing market crash risk score

High, 66 of 100

Five conditions that ran high before earlier price falls are what the score uses to rank Denton against 292 cities. Each input is scored from 0 to 100 compared with the other cities, then the five scores are averaged with equal weight. It shows current conditions but does not forecast a crash.

InputValueSub-scoreWeight
Active listings vs 2019+20.8%7320%
Time on the market vs 2019+17.0%7420%
Price-to-rent ratio19.25620%
Price-to-income ratio4.23420%
12-month price change−3.1%9520%

This is not investment advice. How each input is scored: methodology. See all 292 ranked cities: crash risk by city.

Denton: inventory and days on market

During September 2026 the Dallas, TX metro recorded 29,364 homes available for sale. The count was −2.4% compared with one year before and +20.8% compared with September 2019. Selling took a median of 62 days (+17.0% against 2019), while 27.5% of listings had their price cut.

Dallas, TX metro, September 2026ValueOn a year
Active listings29,364−2.4%
New listings8,938
Median days on market62−1.6%
Median list price$422,495−0.6%
Share with a price cut27.5%

Metro inventory from Realtor.com® Economic Research. Realtor.com data. See days on market by city for every metro.

Rent and cost of living in Denton

By the Zillow Observed Rent Index, Denton's typical asking rent comes to $1,492 a month, −1.1% on a year. At that rent level, a typical home costs 19.2 years of rent. The household income median is $80,908 (Census ACS 2024), and the typical home is worth 4.2 times one year's income. BEA puts metro prices at 103.1 versus a US average of 100, and puts housing costs at 117.9.

Other Texas housing markets

Across the whole state: Texas housing market.

How to read the chart

Each point gives the Zillow Home Value Index for Denton: a typical home's value in the market's middle third, smoothed and seasonally adjusted, in that month's dollars. The hollow dot shows the slider's month, and the terracotta dot the most recent one. Inflation is not factored in, and the index tracks the typical home rather than one particular house. Use either the card above or the home appreciation calculator to determine a single home's value from its sale price.