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Fredericksburg housing market: home prices and forecast

According to the Zillow Home Value Index, Fredericksburg home prices put the typical home in Fredericksburg, Texas at $511,559 in September 2026. That was −3.1% lower than a year earlier and −9.8% below the $567,073 peak in July 2022.

Typical value of a home
$511,559
September 2026, Zillow ZHVI
Change over 12 months
−3.1% compared with September 2025.
Change over 10 years
+68.8% compared with September 2016.
Multiple from 2009
×2.2, starting from $236,520.
Time on the market
108
Source: Realtor.com for the Fredericksburg, TX metro.

Fredericksburg home prices since 2000

Fredericksburg appears in steel, while the United States appears in grey. Beginning in April 2009, the typical Fredericksburg home increased from $236,520 to $511,559, or ×2.16. The US increased by ×2.03 during those months.

$100k$200k$300k$400k$500k$600k2010201520202025Apr 2009 · $236,520$366,157$511,559Sep 2026FredericksburgUnited States$100k$200k$300k$400k$500k$600k20102020Apr 2009 · $237k$366k$512kSep 2026
For a typical home, the Zillow Home Value Index is smoothed and seasonally adjusted. Zillow Research data
April 2009 · $236,520

Fredericksburg median home price by year

Each yearly figure averages twelve monthly values, while 2026 displays the most recent month.

YearFredericksburgChange on the yearUnited States
2010$231,979$171,462
2011$229,594−1.0%$162,508
2012$233,550+1.7%$161,137
2013$243,398+4.2%$171,420
2014$256,078+5.2%$182,996
2015$272,178+6.3%$192,738
2016$297,527+9.3%$204,509
2017$330,005+10.9%$216,767
2018$364,948+10.6%$230,541
2019$361,746−0.9%$242,088
2020$380,466+5.2%$257,151
2021$461,083+21.2%$295,959
2022$549,693+19.2%$340,014
2023$537,298−2.3%$348,160
2024$534,801−0.5%$359,751
2025$533,162−0.3%$362,959
September 2026$511,559−3.1%$366,157

Current value of a Fredericksburg home bought in any year

This is an index-based estimate for a typical home, rather than an appraisal.

Each year's figure averages its twelve monthly index values, and the current value is September 2026. Other options include the home appreciation calculator.

Are you thinking of selling? Compare local agents through Realtor.com. Advertising disclosure: this site may receive payment for links such as this one, but it never changes a number. Details.

Fredericksburg housing market forecast

Zillow's forecast points to −0.1% for the Fredericksburg, TX metro over the 12 months from September 2026, plus +0.4% over the next three months. Fredericksburg's typical value is $511,559; applying the forecast would put it near $511,000 after a year.

This forecast restates Zillow's central estimate for the metro; the site does not publish one of its own. Forecasts of this kind over 12 months have usually differed from the realized change by several percentage points in either direction. This is not investment advice.

All metro forecasts appear in one table: housing market forecast.

Fredericksburg housing market crash risk score

A very high score of 87 out of 100

Ranking Fredericksburg against the 292 cities, the score uses five conditions that were high before previous price falls. Every input is scored from 0 to 100 relative to the other cities; the five scores then receive equal weight in the average. The score reflects current conditions; it does not forecast a crash.

InputValueSub-scoreWeight
Active listings vs 2019+75.2%9720%
Time on the market vs 2019+25.6%8520%
Price-to-rent ratio22.17220%
12-month price change−3.1%9520%

This is not investment advice. See how the inputs receive scores: scoring method. See the ranking of all 292 cities: city crash risk.

Fredericksburg inventory and days on market

As of September 2026 the Fredericksburg, TX metro listed 452 homes for sale, −1.7% compared with a year earlier and +75.2% compared with the same month of 2019. Listings sold in a median of 108 days (+25.6% against 2019), while 10.7% received a price cut.

Fredericksburg, TX metro, September 2026ValueOn a year
Active listings452−1.7%
New listings72
Median days on market108+5.9%
Median list price$745,250−6.3%
Share with a price cut10.7%

Metro inventory: Realtor.com® Economic Research. Realtor.com data. All metro areas: days on market by city.

Fredericksburg rent and living costs

The Zillow Observed Rent Index places the typical monthly asking rent in Fredericksburg at $1,928. At that rent rate, a typical home costs the equivalent of 22.1 years of rent.

More housing markets across Texas

See the entire state: Texas housing market.

How to read the chart

Each point represents the Zillow Home Value Index for Fredericksburg: a typical home's value in the market's middle third, stated in that month's dollars, with smoothing and seasonal adjustment. The hollow dot identifies the month on the slider, while the terracotta dot identifies the latest month. These figures do not account for inflation, and an index tracks a typical home rather than one particular house. Use the card above or the home appreciation calculator to calculate one house's value from its sale price.